World Series betting brings every baseball bettor out of the woodwork because everyone loves to bet the big games. Betting on the World Series is like betting on the Super Bowl or NBA Championship, everyone has to play the season’s climactic event. It is one of the only times that baseball is able to complete with online football betting. We will take a look at what makes World Series betting different from the regular season and examine some trends and tips to make World Series betting more profitable.
When betting the World Series we first want to remember that it is a best of seven series. This fact alone gives us some options that are not available during the regular season. The first choice we have is betting a team to win the series. If we make a series bet all we care about is our team winning the best of seven games. Individual games are not as crucial and we stay alive even if we lose a game or two.
The next option is to bet just to win one game. Let’s say the Angels are playing the Dodgers in the World Series and we like the Angels to win at least one game. We can take the LA Angels in game one and continue to double our bet until they win a game. Our only risk comes into play if the Angels get swept. We could do the same thing with the Dodgers if we don’t believe they will get swept.
We sit out game one and take the loser in game two and play that team until they get a win. It is called a limited Martingale and has advantages when betting an event like the World Series. If we can afford the outlay then our only risk is our team losing four straight and getting swept. It is something to consider. Other options for betting the World Series involve betting each game separately. Let’s take a look at a few trends involving World Series betting and see if we can find some that can be helpful.
In the last 14 years, only three teams were swept, the 2004 Cardinals, the 2007 Rockies, and the 2012 Tigers, two of these by the Boston Redsox. Underdogs for the most part have done well in the Series as the last three seasons the dog has won the World Series, as the Red Sox, Giants, and Cardinals were all underdogs as each World Series began.
The National League holds a slight edge in recent play as 7 of the last 13 series have gone to them. The Red Sox and Cardinals are the teams that are usually involved in the World Series as they have combined to played in World Series 7 in recent history, winning five of those times. The Red Sox missed the playoffs badly this year after winning against the Cardinals last season; but the Cardinals are back in the playoffs having won their division. Underdogs have been the way to go when betting the World Series in recent years.
Totals are another area to consider when betting the World Series. Last year saw only two game reach a total of more than seven and the previous year when San Francisco swept Detroit, only one game had a total higher than 7. It seems like the World Series has a pattern of sticking with a certain type of game. Some years, pitching dominates and the series is low scoring, other years, runs are plentiful.
When we bet on the World Series we start handicapping using the same tools that we used during the regular season. We begin with starting pitchers and look at recent performances. There is not nearly as much information available when betting the World Series because the teams usually have not faced each other; therefore, the pitchers have probably not faced the other team very much.
I look at other factors much more when betting the World Series than in the regular season. Destiny, motivation and intangibles are all just as important as the pitching and hitting statistics in my mind when it comes to betting the World Series. The two teams have probably not faced each other that much in the past and data that we get from any matchups usually does not do us much good. It is better to look at the overall strength, and more importantly, the chemistry of the team.
Since underdogs have performed so well in recent World Series history I would always look to play on them first. Taking that a step further I would also look to play the underdogs on a game-by-game basis as well. Last year’s Boston Red Sox were a perfect example of a team rich in chemistry overcoming a more talented St Louis Cardinals squad.
Betting the World Series is a separate event and you want to keep that in mind as you begin your handicapping process. Let past history give you a little direction and remember to look to the underdogs first and keep in mind that a team with good chemistry is always worth a shot, especially if they are a nice underdog.